On September 10, 2025, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reported a 0.1% decrease in the August Producer Price Index (PPI), below expectations, signaling easing inflationary pressure, per Cointribune EN and. This triggered a 0.5% rise in Bitcoin (BTC) to $114,317.80 within an hour and a 0.2% increase in Ethereum (ETH) to $4,382.10, per. However, the core PPI (excluding food, energy, and trade) rose 0.3%, the highest since March, indicating persistent underlying inflation, per. The CME FedWatch Tool shows an 88% probability of a 25 bps rate cut at the FOMC meeting on September 18, with 12% expecting a 50 bps cut.
The Crypto Fear & Greed Index fell from 70 to a neutral 49, reflecting cautious sentiment ahead of the August Consumer Price Index (CPI) release on September 11 at 8:30 a.m. ET, per. James Toledano, COO of Unity Wallet, warned that the CPI could spark volatility, per. Myriad prediction markets show 72% of users expect BTC to stay above $105,000 through September, up from last week’s pessimism, per. X posts from @TheBlock__ note investors are bracing for FOMC outcomes, with Goldman Sachs pricing in a rate cut.
BTC’s weekly gain is 2.3%, but it’s down 5.7% over 30 days, indicating a fragile recovery, per. ETH’s $4,200 level remains a critical pivot, with support at $4,000, per web:4⁊. BTC’s $55.6B 24-hour trading volume and $2.28T market cap reflect heightened activity, per. Spot Bitcoin ETFs saw $246.42M in net inflows last week, while Ethereum ETFs faced $787.74M outflows, per web:3⁊. The August CPI (2.9% year-over-year) and Jackson Hole speech (August 22) remain key catalysts,
Monitor CPI and FOMC updates on federalreserve.gov and ETF flows on CryptoQuant. Set BTC stop-losses at $112,000 and ETH at $4,000, or diversify into USDC, per TradingView. Follow @TheBlock__ on X for real-time updates. A 25 bps rate cut could push BTC to $120,000 and ETH to $4,500 by Q4, per Techopedia, but a hawkish Fed may cap gains at $105,600, per web:2⁊. Core Foundation’s staking and U.S. crypto bill progress could bolster stability.
