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Ethereum’s MACD Crossover Signals Potential 200% Rally to $8,500

Ethereum blockchain network illustration showing decentralized crypto nodes and ETH symbol

On January 1, 2026, analyst Javon Marks (@JavonTM1) flagged a bullish MACD crossover on Ethereum (ETH)’s 3-day chart near $2,900, echoing a prior signal that drove a +217% rally from $1,550 to $4,950, per CoinCryptoNewz and Marks’ X post. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) line crossing above the signal line suggests renewed uptrend momentum, with Marks targeting $4,811 initially and $8,557 longer-term—a potential 200%+ surge from current levels, per. As of January 2, 2026, ETH trades around $2,900, recovering from recent dips.

Technical Breakdown and Historical Parallels

The MACD crossover, visualized on TradingView, aligns with higher lows and a break above key resistance. Past crossovers coincided with major ETH rallies, including the 2021 bull run, per. RSI at 58 avoids overbought territory, leaving room for growth, per CoinGlass. Post-Dencun upgrade efficiency and Layer 2 scaling (Arbitrum, Optimism) support fundamentals, with $167B DeFi TVL poised for expansion, per DefiLlama. X posts from @JavonTM1 emphasize the signal’s reliability.

Risks and Broader Market Context

While optimistic, false signals can occur in volatile conditions, influenced by macro factors like Fed rate decisions or geopolitical events. Bitcoin (BTC)’s dominance at 57.7% may cap altcoin gains short term, per. ETH faces resistance at $3,500; a break confirms the rally, while failure risks a drop to $2,500 support, per Techopedia. Institutional inflows ($3.7B ETF) and staking ETF speculation bolster sentiment.

Investor Strategies and 2026 Outlook

Monitor MACD on TradingView and on-chain metrics via CryptoQuant. Dollar-cost average into ETH with stop-losses below $2,700, or diversify into USDC for stability, per. Follow @JavonTM1 on X for updates. ETH could reach $8,500 by late 2026 if the crossover holds, driven by DeFi and Layer 2 growth, per, but combine with RSI and volume for confirmation.

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