On July 18, 2025, the crypto market faces a wave of major token unlocks, with Trump Coin (TRUMPWIN), Arbitrum (ARB), and ApeCoin (APE) releasing significant supply, per Coinlineup.com. Trump Coin will unlock 906 million tokens, valued at $913 million or 9% of its circulating supply, per AiCoin.
Arbitrum is set to release 92.65 million ARB tokens ($38.51 million, 1.87% of supply), while ApeCoin will unlock 15.58 million APE tokens ($10.46 million, 1.95% of supply), per AiCoin. These unlocks, totaling over $1.8 billion across multiple tokens, could trigger market volatility and liquidity shifts, per Coinpedia.
Trump Coin’s unlock of 906 million TRUMPWIN tokens, equating to 100% of its float, is valued at $1.94 billion at $9.49 per token, per CoinMarketCap. This Solana-based meme coin, launched January 17, 2025, has seen its market cap drop 80% from a $10 billion peak, per Crypto.news.
The unlock, primarily for team and contributor allocations, may lead to sell pressure. Historical trends, like PUMP’s ICO volatility, suggest short-term dips, but Trump Coin’s 80% insider ownership by CIC Digital and Fight, Fight, Fight raises manipulation concerns, per Reuters. Investors should watch TRUMPWIN’s $9.50 support level, per TradingView.
Arbitrum, holding $2.4 billion in TVL (55–60% of Ethereum L2s), per DeFiLlama, will unlock 92.65 million ARB tokens ($38.51 million), per AiCoin. Despite a bullish double-bottom pattern at $0.2491, ARB trades at $0.33, struggling below $0.34 resistance, per Crypto.news. Ed Felten, Offchain Labs co-founder, highlights Arbitrum’s DeFi strength with protocols like Uniswap and SushiSwap, which may cushion sell pressure, per Coinpedia.
ApeCoin, trading at $0.66, will unlock $10.46 million in APE tokens, per Coinbase. With 93% of its supply already released, ApeCoin’s unlock is less impactful, but its ApeChain migration and staking enhancements could stabilize prices, per BeInCrypto. Both ecosystems face short-term liquidity risks but have strong fundamentals.
Historical data from token unlocks like PUMP’s shows initial sell pressure often stabilizes within weeks, per Coinlive.me. Trump Coin’s high insider control and political ties increase volatility risks, with potential SEC scrutiny over conflicts of interest, per Reuters.
Arbitrum’s robust DeFi ecosystem and ApeCoin’s staking innovations may mitigate downside, but a BTC or SOL correction could amplify market-wide effects, per CryptoNews. Traders should monitor TRUMPWIN’s $9.50–$10 range, ARB’s $0.34 resistance, and APE’s $0.65 support via Coinlineup.com or posts on X. Long-term, these unlocks could enhance liquidity if adoption persists, but short-term caution is advised.
