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Crypto Bill Talks Could Advance with Democratic SEC/CFTC Appointments – TD Cowen

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The biggest remaining obstacle to passing comprehensive U.S. crypto market structure legislation is not the core regulatory framework, whether digital assets are securities (SEC) or commodities (CFTC), but a partisan fight over conflict-of-interest provisions, according to a February 17, 2026, note from TD Cowen’s Washington Research Group.

Democrats are demanding a broad ban preventing senior government officials and their families from owning or transacting in crypto businesses. This demand directly implicates President Trump and his family, given:

  • Estimated $1.4 billion in crypto-related earnings (Bloomberg)
  • 20% stake in mining firm American Bitcoin
  • Involvement with World Liberty Financial

Republicans view the proposal as unacceptable, believing Trump would veto any bill requiring his family to divest holdings. The deadlock has stalled progress despite bipartisan negotiations on the underlying structure.

TD Cowen’s Proposed Compromise Path

TD Cowen analyst Jaret Seiberg outlined a potential breakthrough:

  1. Trump nominates Democratic commissioners to fill existing vacancies at both the SEC (2 open seats) and CFTC (4 open seats).
  2. Democrats accept narrower conflict-of-interest rules that only take effect after the next presidential inauguration (January 20, 2029).

Why Democrats might accept this trade-off:

  • A Democratic president elected in 2028 could immediately control both agencies without Senate confirmation battles.
  • Ongoing crypto rulemakings would still be active in 2029, allowing Democratic chairs to freeze or reshape rules on day one.

Seiberg believes this compromise could unstick negotiations and allow the CLARITY Act (or a similar market structure bill) to become law in 2026.

Recent Political Signals

  • In December 2025, Trump publicly stated openness to nominating Democratic commissioners, a notable shift.
  • No Democrats supported the bill during the Senate Agriculture Committee markup last month, citing Trump family holdings.
  • Senate Banking Committee markup remains pending; Democratic support there is still uncertain.

Market & Industry Implications

Passage would provide long-sought regulatory clarity, potentially unlocking billions in institutional capital and U.S.-based blockchain development. Failure to resolve the conflict-of-interest impasse could delay legislation into 2027 or beyond.

Current market snapshot (February 18, 2026):

  • Bitcoin: ~$113,000

  • Ethereum: ~$4,070

  • Total crypto market cap: ~$3.8 trillion

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