
The Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) has issued a blanket no-action letter for prediction market platforms. The move removes swap data reporting and recordkeeping requirements for platforms offering event contracts. The decision aims to reduce regulatory uncertainty in the fast-growing prediction market industry.
According to the CFTC, event contracts technically qualify as “swaps” because they are based on binary outcomes. However, regulators noted that these contracts function more like futures and options. They feature standardized terms, exchange trading, and offset capabilities similar to traditional futures products.
The no-action letter applies to several companies operating in the prediction market sector. Current beneficiaries include Polymarket US, Kalshi, Gemini Titan, and Bitnomial. The CFTC also stated that additional firms offering event contracts can request the same regulatory treatment in the future.
The announcement comes as prediction markets face increasing legal pressure from state regulators. Several U.S. states argue that sports-related event contracts resemble unlicensed sports betting. However, the CFTC maintains that these platforms fall under federal derivatives market oversight.
