As of October 16, 2025, Bitcoin (BTC) maintains stability around $113,234, down 2.78% daily but supported by $3.24 billion in spot Bitcoin ETF inflows for the month, per Kanalcoin. This surge, led by BlackRock and Fidelity, offsets recent volatility, with BTC rebounding from an intraday low of $112,709, per. Ethereum (ETH) dipped 5% to $4,070, but BTC’s $2.45 trillion market cap and $65.8 billion daily volume signal institutional confidence, per CoinMarketCap. No major warnings of a crash below $107K–$110K support have emerged, per.
Profit-taking and leveraged liquidations drove the pullback, but institutional demand mitigated downside, with $14.84 billion cumulative ETF inflows in 2025 outpacing 2024, per CryptoQuant. Kronos Research’s Vincent Liu notes investors are in a “wait-and-see mode,” with ETH’s $4,200 as a key pivot, per. On-chain data shows no large-scale withdrawals, and historical trends indicate BTC strengthens during inflow periods, per. Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) and Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund (FBTC) led recent gains, countering outflows from ARKB, per SoSoValue.
Spot Bitcoin ETFs posted $219 million net inflows on August 25, 2025, reversing a $972 million outflow streak, per. Cumulative inflows hit $54.18 billion, with BlackRock’s IBIT ranking fifth among all ETFs for 2025 flows, per. Ether ETFs saw $3.23 billion inflows, extending their streak, per. Presto Research’s Peter Chung highlights expectations of a September rate cut, with an 85% probability, potentially fueling a rally if Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s Jackson Hole speech is dovish, per CME FedWatch. BTC could target $150,000 by year-end with sustained inflows, per.
BTC support at $112,000 and resistance at $120,000 are critical; a breach below $110,000 risks a deeper correction, per TradingView. Monitor ETF flows on SoSoValue and FOMC updates via federalreserve.gov. Dollar-cost average into BTC or ETH with stop-losses below $112,000 and $4,000, or diversify into USDC, per. Follow @TheBlock__ on X for real-time insights. ETF demand and Fed policy keep BTC resilient in a risk-off climate, per Lekker Capital, but volatility persists until Jackson Hole clarity.
