On November 5, 2025, Stellar (XLM) is trading at $0.2732, down 32% monthly amid a broader market sell-off that saw Bitcoin (BTC) dip to $98K before rebounding to $102K, per CoinsProbe. XLM has rebounded from the symmetrical triangle’s ascending support at $0.2532, a level holding firm since April 2025, with buyers defending it amid $2B in total liquidations, per. The pattern, a neutral consolidation signaling impending volatility, shows early stabilization as XLM tests support, with RSI at 42 indicating oversold conditions ripe for a rebound, per TradingView.
The weekly symmetrical triangle, with resistance at $0.5204 and support at $0.2532, has confined XLM since July 2025, per. Recent rejection at resistance led to a 50% correction, but the bounce to $0.2732 aligns with the 50-day MA at $0.3456, a potential first target for bulls, per. A breakout above the triangle could target $0.42, representing a 53% upside from current levels, fueled by XLM’s $8.1B market cap and $142M 24-hour volume, per CoinMarketCap. Failure below $0.2532 risks a drop to the 100-day MA at $0.2302, invalidating the bullish setup, per. X posts highlight the pattern’s bullish potential, with @scopuly noting a “coiled spring” for a +19% move to $0.3823 if $0.3195 resistance breaks.
XLM’s resilience stems from Protocol 23 upgrade, activated in Q3 2025, enhancing smart contract efficiency and RWA transactions at $5.4B quarterly, per. Partnerships with Franklin Templeton for tokenized Treasuries and Visa for cross-border payments, plus Chainlink CCIP integration in October 2025, drive institutional demand, per. Despite MiCA’s stablecoin reserve rules slowing growth, XLM’s ISO 20022 compliance attracts banks, per. Short-term CMF turning positive signals whale inflows, though Bitcoin’s 59.25% dominance caps altcoin liquidity, per. X sentiment is mixed, with @pupmentor noting a “buyer-seller standoff” that could resolve upward if sellers retreat.
A confirmed rebound could see XLM hit $0.47 by month-end, with historical November median returns at -5.67% but average +58%, per. Long-term, 2025 forecasts range from $0.216–$0.311, with upside to $0.938 if bull run resumes, per. Monitor $0.25 support; a hold targets $0.35, but a break below eyes $0.21, per. Investors: Dollar-cost average on dips above $0.25, set stop-losses at $0.23, and diversify with USDC or ETH ($4,070), per TradingView. Track RWA metrics on Stellar.org and X sentiment via @scopuly for updates. XLM’s utility in payments positions it for recovery if BTC stabilizes above $100K, per.
